Learning sharks-Share Market Institute

 

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Focused on the Trade

Psychology and Risk Management

What to expect
Risks
• Position sizing
• illusion of control
• Accepting critisism
• Paralyzed by fear
• Loss is a feedback, not a failure
• The flexible trader
• Focusing on the positive
• Short straddle
• The dynamics of greed
• The herd mentality
• Notes

It’s important to maintain your attention on the trade you have placed. You must be ready to quickly take action to protect yourself when you can clearly see the signals that the market is moving against you. However, psychological problems like self-doubt, shaky confidence, or a lack of dedication might divert you. They might affect your capacity to easily carry out your trading strategy and handle a trade. It’s helpful to try to resolve as many psychological conflicts as you can, even though it’s practically impossible to eradicate all psychological conflicts from your psyche. This will prevent psychological conflicts from penetrating your consciousness and interfering with your ability to concentrate on your trade.

 

It’s best to deal with psychological conflicts as soon as possible because if you don’t, they just linger in the background of your mind and consume precious, finite psychological energy. You can lessen the likelihood that psychological problems will enter your consciousness when you least expect them by identifying them before the trading day. Do you harbour any unsolved disputes in the back of your head? It’s challenging to simply ignore these disagreements entirely and carry on as if nothing ever happened. Ironically, the more psychological energy you expend trying to deny that these problems really exist. It’s better to acknowledge and deal with disputes than to try to ignore them.

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Source : Wsj.com

There are some issues that all merchants must deal with at some point, even if you are not the type of person who has a lot of old disputes to settle. There are several trading myths that have some basis in reality but are challenging to embrace. For instance, new traders need to be aware of and prepare for the potential that a string of profitable deals may have been the consequence of luck rather than trading talent. Even if it feeds our egos to believe we are amazing traders, it is preferable to admit that we might not be as talented as we would want to be than to act as though we are something we are not.

 

Since it requires more mental effort to pretend that you have trading skills that you don’t, it is preferable to just acknowledge the problem and take steps to address it. For instance, one can improve their talents, gain more trading knowledge and experience, and become a top trader.

 

Some traders might be reluctant to accept similar thoughts, but they should. Perhaps I was a good trader once, but the market conditions have changed, and I may not be able to live up to my expectations of trading profitably, for instance, a trader might think. This scenario could arise at any time for traders. It might be true or it might be untrue, but regardless of its veracity, holding onto a belief like that requires mental effort. It’s preferable to be aware of the possibility, and if it’s true, take the required actions to disprove it. If it’s false, remind yourself that it’s absurd.

 

There are still a lot of psychological issues lingering in your thoughts. They are there, underneath your consciousness, waiting to pounce. When you are feeling weak, as when you are afraid or dissatisfied, these beliefs may come to the fore. Ignoring these potentially disruptive psychological problems is not helpful. It’s preferable to acknowledge them right away. When you do, you will probably be better able to tell yourself, “That might be true, but it doesn’t matter right now.” Then you had better spend some time handling it during your “off hours.” Your capacity to concentrate on your trade can be severely impacted by internal conflicts.

The Fly and the Tree

Psychology and Risk Management

What to expect
Risks
• Position sizing
• illusion of control
• Accepting critisism
• Paralyzed by fear
• Loss is a feedback, not a failure
• The flexible trader
• Focusing on the positive
• Short straddle
• The dynamics of greed
• The herd mentality
• Notes

Being flexible is essential for traders. One must be able to approach a trade issue from various angles in a collected, logical, and perceptive manner. Have you ever noticed that you struggle to think properly when you are under a lot of pressure? Your focus could become limited and entrenched, making it challenging to consider alternate viewpoints. It’s helpful to assess your level of flexibility; if you discover that you lack it, recognise it and make changes to your surroundings to foster a more adaptable approach to problem-solving.

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Source: npr

For traders, flexibility is key. A trade issue needs to be approached from a variety of perspectives in a calm, logical, and insightful way. Have you ever observed that when you are under a lot of strain, it is difficult for you to think clearly? Your concentration could narrow and harden, making it difficult to examine alternative points of view. It’s useful to evaluate your level of flexibility. If you find that you don’t have enough of it, acknowledge it and take steps to alter your environment. This will help you develop a more flexible approach to problem-solving.

 

Although it is clear in hindsight, it might have been challenging to understand if you didn’t already know the solution. Actually, only the most brilliant people can correctly answer such a discriminating question.

It requires intellectual adaptability to respond to the question regarding the fly and the tree. It’s fascinating to watch extremely smart, adaptable individuals respond to the question. It seems as if they don’t give a damn. They exude tremendous confidence and appear to be circling the question, “What might it be?” They then appear to shrug their shoulders and speculate, “They are both living creatures,” before continuing. When it is revealed that they arrived at the right solution, they are taken aback.

 

Flexible people approach puzzle solving in a very casual and unhurried manner. They don’t put themselves under undue pressure or risk their self-esteem. They simply consider all of the possibilities, unwind, and come up with any response as long as it is at least partly logical. When necessary, they know how to simplify, and they also know when to explore for sophisticated solutions.

It’s crucial that you traders find flexible solutions to trading issues. You may create an environment that encourages a flexible way of thinking. Don’t put too much strain on yourself, for instance.

 

If you need to make a difficult choice, wait until you can do so while being composed and objective. (If doing so requires closing out the position, go ahead.) Find a tranquil and soothing location to do your thinking since pressure or stress can make you more rigid. (This could entail much planning ahead of time since the markets can be highly tense after the opening bell.) Don’t overburden yourself, as well. Don’t convince yourself you have to get the answer correct or it will show you are a bad trader, putting your self-esteem at risk.

 

Flexibility does not thrive under pressure like that.

The secret to successful trading is flexibility. You can be more adaptable and find solutions to important trading issues by choosing the suitable surroundings and adopting the appropriate mentality.

Peak Performance Trading

Psychology and Risk Management

What to expect
Risks
• Position sizing
• illusion of control
• Accepting critisism
• Paralyzed by fear
• Loss is a feedback, not a failure
• The flexible trader
• Focusing on the positive
• Short straddle
• The dynamics of greed
• The herd mentality
• Notes

Experienced traders usually talk about times when they are performing at their best. Trading in the zone or “flowing with the markets” are two names for it. But the defining traits are a careless, emotionless demeanour and a concentrated, determined concentration on the markets. In this perfect mental state, traders almost completely forget about themselves. They are simply paying attention to the current process as it is happening. They do not feel self-conscious, worry about how they are performing, or fear performing poorly. Everything just seems to “click” as they float along with the market’s ups and downs. The majority of traders concur that in order to trade profitably, one must be in a peak performance mental state.

 

resolve interpersonal disputes. Not everyone who trades has issues at home that need to be resolved. However, if you have a tendency to carry “unfinished business” around with you, it will constantly be on your mind, preventing you from achieving your top performance. The need for self-esteem, the need to validate one’s worth, the drive to be correct, or the urge to feel superior to others are a few examples of common psychological problems.

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Source: The only black guy in the office

Many traders ignore these problems, believing they are nothing more than psychobabble. That doesn’t apply to me, they reason. It could not apply, but individuals with these kinds of problems are frequently lured to trading. Ironically, it is these conflicts that motivate them to seek a demanding trading career in which they must overcome huge difficulties to join the elite group of people who earn large salaries in comparison to the great majority. Make sure you don’t actually have psychological conflicts that prevent you from reaching your top performance condition before you decide to ignore these problems.

 

Consider probabilities when thinking. Mark Douglas writes about a “thinking strategy” he calls “thinking in terms of probability” in his book “Trading in the Zone.” In other words, a trader shouldn’t concentrate on the result of a particular trade. Instead, he or she should concentrate exclusively on the whole picture, the result as it relates to all traders. When it comes to trading, you should enter the market with the expectation that you will lose more transactions than you will win. However, mathematically, with the use of effective risk management, it is still feasible to turn a profit across a number of trades, even if most of them are losers. It’s a good idea to not overreact to defeats. Put things in their correct context.

 

According to Douglas, it’s helpful to think of trading in the same manner that a successful professional gambler thinks of gambling. Professional gamblers approach the game with objectivity; they lay wager after wager in the belief that, if they make enough trades, the law of big numbers will favour them. A similar “thinking style” should be used by traders. A trading strategy with a track record of success is a crucial requirement. However, once you have it, you must use it often to benefit from this successful track record. Giving the trading method a chance to succeed over a number of trades can help you repeat the past odds of success even if it does fail a few times.

 

Implement sound risk management. A crucial element of trading at optimal efficiency is careful risk management. You will experience tension whether you are aware of it or not if there is a genuine threat that you will lose substantial sums of money or money that you just cannot afford to lose. However, if you set a risk limit for each deal, you will subconsciously understand that you have little to lose. And when you are confident that even the worst-case situation poses little risk, you will feel less emotional and have an easier time reaching your peak performance condition.

 

Trade according to a very specific trading plan. The most important factor in reaching optimal performance is probably having a meticulously thought-out trading strategy. Completely describe the strategy, including the particular entry and departure locations as well as the market circumstances that must exist for it to be used. There will always be room for indecision if every element of the plan isn’t laid out, which will keep you from operating at your best. Make your preparations ahead of time, not when you are trading. When you are attempting to make unneeded last-minute judgments, it is too difficult to maintain objectivity. You can maintain focus and trade at the top of your game if you plan out your approach as much as you can.

 

Many traders think that being mentally at your best while trading is essential to doing so profitably. Not everyone has a natural predisposition for this ideal state of mind, but with the correct preparation and practise, anyone may achieve it. The time spent learning how to do it is worthwhile.

Be Flexible Enough to Stand Aside

Psychology and Risk Management

What to expect
Risks
• Position sizing
• illusion of control
• Accepting critisism
• Paralyzed by fear
• Loss is a feedback, not a failure
• The flexible trader
• Focusing on the positive
• Short straddle
• The dynamics of greed
• The herd mentality
• Notes

Be Flexible Enough

The ability to recognise when to avoid the markets is essential for survival. Sometimes it’s best to step back and wait for the appropriate opportunity. Both the financial environment and your psychological attitude are subject to change. It is a good idea to steer clear of traditions that are profitable when the market isn’t favourable for them. Even seasoned experts frequently need to take a step back and reconsider their strategies. Accepting your limitations, taking a break, and returning to the markets when you’re ready are not to be feared. There are numerous useful justifications for reserving judgement.

 

There are psychological justifications for refraining from trading. You may experience fatigue, depression, or general malaise on some days. You could find it difficult to retain the optimistic, detached mindset required for trading during these periods. Your psychological reserves may be drained, causing you to respond emotionally or impulsively. Some people can be tempted to place trades while they are going through a slump, but doing so could result in placing poor deal after bad transaction.

 

Your ego will suffer, in addition to your account balance. When you check your account balance the following day, when you are feeling better, you can still notice the effects of the slump. And on a day when you ordinarily feel relaxed, upbeat, and prepared to engage the markets in earnest, that can lead to emotions of worry. Generally speaking, it’s preferable to step back when you’re feeling low and start fresh when you’re feeling at your best.

 

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When your trading strategy appears to be losing its competitive advantage, that’s another strong reason to avoid the markets. Any trading strategy has its limitations. Even a “foolproof” strategy can fail when market conditions shift. By carrying on with their trading, many inexperienced traders make the issue worse. When a technique fails, it can actually fail. With each trade, your account balance will decrease. Another error is losing your temper when your approach fails. It’s best to consider such circumstances as an intellectual challenge rather than a time for fear and self-doubt.

 

Experienced experts frequently claim that when their tried-and-true approach begins to fail and they must come up with a new one, they perform at their best. They see the predicament as a riddle that needs to be solved. They take a step back from the marketplace and carefully examine their procedures. They hunt for the method’s flaws and strive to fix it until it functions properly once more. When they believe they have found the answer, they do a few modest transactions to test out their new, updated strategy after looking for market factors that may have altered.

 

Therefore, discontinue trading at the same pace when your approach stops functioning. Remain outside, assess the situation, and wait until the circumstances are ideal before entering.

Monitoring both your psychological and market moods is necessary for profitable trading. It is recommended to avoid either one if trading is not possible and wait for the conditions to improve. Do not fall into the trap of believing that you should trade despite these potentially crippling conditions. You can continue trading another day when you’re in a top performance state and the market conditions are ideal by avoiding the markets today.

Flexible and Open to Possibilities

Psychology and Risk Management

What to expect
Risks
• Position sizing
• illusion of control
• Accepting critisism
• Paralyzed by fear
• Loss is a feedback, not a failure
• The flexible trader
• Focusing on the positive
• Short straddle
• The dynamics of greed
• The herd mentality
• Notes

Flexible and Open to Possibilities

 

Successful traders are adaptable. They approach a transaction from various perspectives and aren’t hesitant to consider all of the options. They are aware that they can be mistaken, but it doesn’t concern them. Yes, they frequently anticipate being mistaken. Being adaptable is essential when weighing your options. You might experience losses if you tenaciously stick to one line of action. Be as adaptable as you can to increase your revenues.

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When creating a trading strategy, fear might occasionally come into play. The strict trader may be hiding a fear that his or her strategy has little chance of success. The scared and inflexible trader concentrates solely on one possibility rather than carefully weighing all potential bad conditions, and does not come up with a backup plan of attack in case an unwelcome or unplanned incident throws off his or her trading strategy.

For instance, a stock may be expected to rise during the coming week, but one may secretly have doubts about whether the increase will be successful. Fear may cause the inflexible trader to avoid taking into account and accounting for any negative occurrences, such as earnings announcements, a potential increase in interest rates, or a rapid shift in market sentiment. The flexible trader, on the other hand, is unafraid to consider each of these options and decide which are more likely. The adaptable trader can adapt his or her ideas as needed and bounce back from a potential setback by remaining open to all options.

 

The best remedy for rigidity is to lessen fear since people are at their most rigid when they are terrified. One can think freely and flexibly to the extent that they can trade in a relaxed emotional state. Risk management can help to lessen fear. You’ll feel at ease and at ease if you know that you can withstand the worst-case scenario. Similar to this, if you trade with money you can afford to lose, you won’t have as much to worry and will be better able to consider all of the potential alternative elements that could affect your trading strategy. You might become less fearful and more open to considering all the options by developing a relaxed mindset. And the more adaptable you are, the more successful your trading will be.

First in Line and Ready for Action

Psychology and Risk Management

What to expect
Risks
• Position sizing
• illusion of control
• Accepting critisism
• Paralyzed by fear
• Loss is a feedback, not a failure
• The flexible trader
• Focusing on the positive
• Short straddle
• The dynamics of greed
• The herd mentality
• Notes

Security can be found in numbers. Have you ever observed an aquarium’s school of fish? They stick together because a single fish has a lower chance of being caught while swimming in the centre of a pack than when it is swimming alone if a larger fish is nearby and ready to consume one of them. Humans also go to “school” in their daily lives. For instance, it’s simpler to go fast in the middle of a group of automobiles on a deserted route. According to the reasoning, “the highway patrolman can’t pull us all over and give us all tickets.” Sometimes, especially when trading, it’s simpler to go with the flow. As they say,

 

“The trend is your friend.”

Following the crowd comes naturally to a lot of people. In our favour, it frequently works. Either we should move to the east side and blend in, or we should find out why none of our rich friends live on the west side of town. However, this way of thinking needs to be changed when it comes to trading. Before waiting to follow the mob, you must learn to anticipate what it will do next and to think for yourself. The primary purpose of trading is to make money by buying and selling stocks on the short term. It is challenging to achieve that if you are going with the flow.

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Many people find it natural to follow the herd. It often works in our favour. It’s in our best interest to find out why none of our wealthy friends reside on the west side of town, or to just move to the east side and blend in. But when it comes to trading, this way of thinking must be abandoned. You must develop the ability to predict what the mob will do next and learn to act independently before waiting to follow them. The main activity in trading is the short-term purchase and sale of equities for financial gain. If you are going with the flow, it is difficult to do that.

 

When buying a significant quantity of stock with the intention of selling it when the price rises a few points, you can’t wait for the general public to back up your predictions. Costs fluctuate in cycles. You risk trying to sell as the cycle brings the price back down if you wait too long for the price to hit a peak and for the market to buy a significant number of stock, validating your forecast. And by that time, the purchasing frenzy has passed, and you are probably trying to sell your stock when “fear” has set in and the majority of people are prepared to do so.

 

Ideally, you should buy stock when the public is going to embark on a buying spree, buy it at a lower price than they will gladly pay, and sell it to them then. You need to be the first person in line prepared to sell when everyone else is waiting in a different queue to buy. You must anticipate the next vogue and behave differently from the majority of people. In terms of realistic strategies, that is more challenging to put into practise.

 

To foresee the pivot points, for instance, you need precise momentum indicators. But psychologically speaking, one must also be willing to discard the lessons we have received throughout our lives about finding shelter by doing as others do. There is no safety in numbers in this situation. When it comes to trading, you must see the crowd as your rival rather than an ally. You must foresee what they will do and devise a strategy to profit from their anxiety and desire.

 

Remember that after the California Gold Rush, San Francisco’s mansions were not constructed by mining for rich metals but rather by providing food and other amenities to the large number of inexperienced miners looking to sate their greed. You must equally take advantage of the crowd and profit from their “herd mentality” as a trader. You must be the first to devise a plan to capitalise on their fear and greed to amass your wealth.

Getting Worked Up For Nothing

Psychology and Risk Management

What to expect
Risks
• Position sizing
• illusion of control
• Accepting critisism
• Paralyzed by fear
• Loss is a feedback, not a failure
• The flexible trader
• Focusing on the positive
• Short straddle
• The dynamics of greed
• The herd mentality
• Notes

Since Rohan has been trading for the past five years, he has worked extraordinarily hard. He took on two jobs to earn enough money to trade with a reasonable probability of success. He spent his evenings and weekends mastering cutting-edge trading strategies. Has it generated any profits? No! rohan is getting frustrated. He has made sacrifices and exerted heroic effort, but he can’t help but feel that his trade objectives are nothing more than wishful thinking. Ever experienced this? Those of you who have been trading in the markets for a while understand exactly what I mean. But in these circumstances, you must think strategically rather than emotionally.

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Success requires a positive outlook, yet it can be challenging to stay upbeat when encountering numerous failures. It’s normal to become irritated. Your feelings take control. You start to feel frustrated in your ideas. It’s not fair, you begin to think. Since I worked so hard, I SHOULD be rewarded greatly. Although it would be good if the markets behaved as per our expectations, we must follow the markets wherever they lead. We must embrace both the gifts and the burdens that the markets wish to bestow upon us. You won’t ever profit from the markets if you give in to pessimism and dissatisfaction.

 

What is your method? Recognize that trading presents challenges first. Don’t approach trading in a naive manner. Don’t let yourself believe that it is simple. You’ll only set yourself up for failure, which will make you bitterly unhappy if you have a setback. Hard does not equate to impossible. Recognizing the difficulties involved in understanding the markets can help you create a practical strategy for overcoming issues. Next, express your frustration. Dr. Ari Kiev, a trading specialist, contends that if you accept your emotions, they will go away. When you acknowledge your frustrations as they arise, you may prepare to go past the obstacle after they have passed. Third, you need to be prepared to develop a positive outlook. Remain optimistic.

Trading is one skill that may be learned. If you make the effort, you will be successful. It’s possible that you won’t find success immediately away. Even though you might not be a natural merchant, you will be prosperous. Last but not least, avoid letting feelings influence your judgement when making choices. Instead of emotionally reacting to setbacks, it’s critical to focus on finding solutions. Keep your patience. When you experience a setback, get back up. You’ll discover that if you work hard enough, you can attain your financial objectives.

 

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Refuting Core Beliefs

Psychology and Risk Management

What to expect
Risks
• Position sizing
• illusion of control
• Accepting critisism
• Paralyzed by fear
• Loss is a feedback, not a failure
• The flexible trader
• Focusing on the positive
• Short straddle
• The dynamics of greed
• The herd mentality
• Notes

Stock Market Refuting core beliefs Our views and expectations determine our trading strategy. For instance, if we are very afraid, we won’t want to take chances and, at our most extreme, we might even be afraid to place a transaction. Whether conscious or not, our expectations have a significant impact on how well we trade.

Every typical worry that traders experience has underlying core assumptions and ideas that should  recognise and debunk. For instance, Mark Douglas lists four trading anxieties that lead to many trading mistakes in his book “Trading in the Zone”: being incorrect, losing money, missing out, and leaving money on the table, because of many anxieties of these fear of failing. 

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Sourse: Tickertape

For instance, the fundamental presumption behind the fear of failure is the conviction that one must be wholly competent, sufficient, and successful. According to Ellis, having such a notion causes worry and anxiety, which in traders frequently results in hesitancy and self-doubt. It makes sense how this belief came to be. Growing up, we frequently experience negative repercussions for not being meticulously skilled, whether at home, school, or job. As a result, we start to assume that we must be totally competent, adequate, and successful in whatever we do. But there is a cost to this belief.

 

If we have the mindset that we must always succeed, we will spend all of our precious psychological energy worrying about what will happen if we fail rather than concentrating on what we are doing right now to carry out our present trading strategy. Traders who feel they must possess a high level of competence spend their whole day worrying about what they did incorrectly, what could go wrong, and how they will rebound if they fail. These ideas detract from the present experience and make it difficult to accurately and consistently interpret current market behaviour.

Let go of your fear of failure if you want to succeed in trading. You don’t need to be flawless. One is destined to make mistakes every now and again, as any seasoned trader will tell you, and if you are concerned with avoiding them, Stock Market Refuting core beliefs, you’ll be so anxious and afraid that you will make even more blunders. To disprove the fundamental idea that drives the fear of failure: Remind yourself that you don’t need to think you need to be completely competent, adequate, or successful. No trader can meet that bar, and strangely, attempting to do so would only result in failure and incompetence.

 

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Fear of a Sudden Turn of Events

Psychology and Risk Management

What to expect
Risks
• Position sizing
• illusion of control
• Accepting critisism
• Paralyzed by fear
• Loss is a feedback, not a failure
• The flexible trader
• Focusing on the positive
• Short straddle
• The dynamics of greed
• The herd mentality
• Notes

Things have been going well for the previous few months and you currently have a number of roles open. Following a Fear of a Sudden Turn of Events month of terrible weather and natural calamities, there is a sudden increase in interest rates. The markets decline as would be predicted, and many of your positions lose value. How do you behave? A seasoned trader would simply wait it out. You wait for the market to resume its previous trajectory after realising that the modest drop is just transitory. However, many traders are unsure about how to respond. They worry and begin to believe it’s the beginning of a significant bull market when they see their portfolio lose money. What is your typical response? Fear is a common factor.

 

But when it comes to investing, fear may be fatal.

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Fear of a Sudden Turn of Events propensity is biologically and genetically based. Fear and the fight-or-flight reaction are connected. Animals employ fear as a very basic survival mechanism, and it is regulated by brain regions that are really rudimentary. The instinct to either fight or retreat can be incredibly adaptive. A wild animal must gather its resources and decide quickly whether to resist the threat or run away to safety when damage is suspected. However, the fear instinct might divert you from your intended direction while trading the markets. You don’t want to lose control of your emotions and sell off your holdings hastily because you wrongly think that a brief slump heralds approaching disaster. Instead, you should calmly and logically weigh your options before making a decision.

 

It’s crucial to control your fear and prevent it from leading you to act inappropriately. But it’s sometimes challenging to remain rational when your money is on the line. How do you manage your fear? Ari Kiev provides a simple method for managing fear in his book “Trading to Win”: When you admit that you are terrified, the emotion will leave your body and lose all of its power. Refusing to accept your fear will only cause it to persist, however acknowledging your fear will cause it to lessen.

 

Simply acknowledging your fear is the first step toward overcoming it. Trading modest positions is a second strategy for controlling fear. Your risk-taking is lower and your likelihood of feeling dread is lower the less money you have on the line. 3. Control risk. You will feel more at peace and be able to handle worry more readily if you use protective stops and only risk a tiny portion of your capital on one trade. Fourthly, you can trade more circumspectly by ensuring that your trading strategy is in line with a larger trend.

 

Consider a day trade where your prediction is that the market will be bullish. You will be incurring less risk if the market’s longer-term trend is similarly optimistic. Even if the market goes against you during the trading day, you are aware that, in the worst event, you can wait it out and either minimise your losses or even profit. Finally, if things become too emotionally taxing, you can take a break and engage in paper trading. If you are particularly prone to fear, it is likely because you have recently executed a number of losing transactions. As a result, anxiety has become “associated” or “classically conditioned” with losing trades. You instantaneously and naturally get afraid when you start a trade.

 

“Systematic desensitisation” or “counter-conditioning” is a successful technique psychologists have used to overcome excessive Fear of a Sudden Turn of Events, This technique basically takes advantage of the fact that it is impossible to concurrently experience both the terror response and the relaxation response. An incident that previously caused fear will lose its power and no longer cause fear if you feel comfortable and prevent the fear response from happening. Imagine that you are placing a trade, but since no money is at danger, you won’t experience much dread. You are prepared to increase the risk once you can manage your fear while trading on paper.

 

Place a low-risk deal of modest size. Once more, make an effort to unwind and suppress the dread response. If you start to feel anxious, switch back to trading on paper until you can use a relaxation technique to stop the anxiety response from happening. Work your way up to placing a relatively risky trade by gradually executing trades that require more risk until you can do so without feeling nervous. Avoid letting fear get in the way of your trade at all costs. Be able to manage your fear. You can trade successfully if you can do it unrestrictedly and coolly.

 

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Making Sense of it All

Psychology and Risk Management

What to expect
Risks
• Position sizing
• illusion of control
• Accepting critisism
• Paralyzed by fear
• Loss is a feedback, not a failure
• The flexible trader
• Focusing on the positive
• Short straddle
• The dynamics of greed
• The herd mentality
• Notes

People are “lay scientists,” according to social psychologists, who are Making Mistake in stock market, use this phrase frequently. Like academic scientists, they seek to comprehend their environment. They develop and test hypotheses. However, they use their daily experience to test out hypotheses they have about people rather than performing formal experiments. When we learn how to trade, we follow the same procedure. We research the markets and attempt to formulate our own unique beliefs regarding how they operate. However, since we don’t perform formal experiments, we can be susceptible to psychological biases. The false consensus effect is Making Mistake in stock market, one of these psychological biases. We have a tendency to believe that others share our beliefs and behave in the same way that we do, but this perspective is limited, and it can lead us astray.

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Trading in the short term frequently involves predicting what the masses will do. Will they purchase or sell? It might be challenging. Consider the previous two weeks. One may assume that the general public would flee the markets in light of the conflict, the hurricane, and the high price of oil. However, they didn’t. It proves that you can’t always predict how people would react to events happening around the world. It all comes down to having the proper perspective, which can occasionally be challenging to discover. Even though it could be difficult, we must at least attempt it.

 

One of the common wisdoms that might influence our actions is the false consensus effect. Social psychologists have shown that people consistently overestimate the number of those who agree with them, regardless of the decision you ask them to make, the significance of the issue, or the choice taken. It’s human nature to think that our actions are reasonable, appropriate, and similar to what our coworkers and peers would do in the same circumstances. We use our choices as a “anchor” and assess what other people might do in light of them. Being overconfident may be a result of this bias in judgement.

 

The process by which people choose their course of action is one theory for the false consensus effect. People attempt to put together evidence to reach a conclusion while deciding on a position. They eventually group all the evidence that favours one course of action over another, dismissing contradicting evidence. Once a decision has been taken, the supporting information is immediately “accessible” in memory and is simple to recall. People still have these numerous pieces of confirming data in mind, are able to recall them with ease, and assume that others will behave as they do based on the information they remember when asked to estimate the number of people who would reach a similar conclusion. People tend to Making Mistake in stock market, assumptions about what other people will do rather than relying on accurate facts.

 

In the world of trading, this prejudice frequently manifests. Trading requires ongoing foresight into how the general public will act. You consider and analyse the information in front of you, then come to a conclusion. However, your own perspective is the only one you can rely on. And that viewpoint might be incorrect.

How may the false consensus effect be countered? Learning about it is the best way to defend yourself. Keep in mind that you are acting based on incomplete knowledge. You can get around this trade reality, but you must embrace it.

 

Always be wary of promises. Manage your risk and be willing to admit that you might be Making Mistake in stock market, You are human, after all, and occasionally you are going to make biassed conclusions. It’s better to accept it and go on than to beat yourself up over it.

 

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